If you blinked pass this week, you missed about five major political earthquakes. The landscape of naija politics right now is so volatile, so unpredictable, so utterly chaotic that even seasoned political observers are struggling to keep up.

Let's start with the resurrection of a political ghost: Nasir El-Rufai.

Remember El-Rufai? The man who disappeared into political oblivion after the Senate denied him a ministerial position? The former Kaduna strongman who went quiet after his spectacular fall from grace? Well, he's back, and he's coming in hot with takes that have left everyone confused.

El-Rufai finally emerged from his silence with a post lamenting the neglect of the Muslim North.

Fair enough—many Northern Muslims feel marginalized in the current political dispensation despite having a Northern Muslim Vice President. It's a legitimate grievance that deserves discussion.

But then El-Rufai did something so bizarre, so self-destructive, so politically tone-deaf that people are wondering if his time in exile affected his judgment: he started clamoring for Vice President Kashim Shettima's candidacy in the 2027 election under APC.

Wait, what?

El-Rufai, who has been bitter about being excluded from Tinubu's government, who decamped from APC in anger, who joined ADC supposedly to fight against the ruling party, is now advocating for the APC Vice President to be retained as Vice President Candidate in 2027?

The man literally shot himself in the foot while trying to make a political comeback. How does that make any sense? If you're in ADC fighting against APC, why are you campaigning for an APC candidate? If you're angry about being sidelined by Tinubu, why are you endorsing his Vice President?

This is either the most confused political positioning ever, or El-Rufai is playing some 4D chess that nobody else can see. Either way, his comeback post has only reinforced why he's been in oblivion in the first place.

Meanwhile, in Abeokuta, another political heavyweight dropped a bombshell.

Former President Olusegun Obasanjo, the Balogun of Owu himself, has officially endorsed the Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso ticket in ADC for the 2027 presidential election.

This endorsement is significant for two reasons. First, Obasanjo still carries considerable political weight, especially among certain demographics. Second, and more tellingly, he endorsed this ticket against his own former Vice President, Atiku Abubakar.

Obasanjo and Atiku's relationship has been toxic for years, but this is a new level of public humiliation. Imagine your former boss, the man who picked you as his running mate, the man you served under for eight years, publicly saying that two other candidates are better options than you for President.

That's not just an endorsement for Obi-Kwankwaso. That's a middle finger to Atiku. And Obasanjo knows exactly what he's doing.

The message is clear: "Atiku, I will support anyone—literally anyone—before I support you for President." It's personal, it's petty, and it's classic Obasanjo.

This endorsement also complicates things for ADC. How do you run a party where Obasanjo has endorsed one ticket while another prominent member (Atiku) wants to be the candidate? The internal battles haven't even started yet, and the cracks are already showing.

But if you think that's dramatic, wait until you hear what happened when President Tinubu finally flew back into the country.

Tinubu hit the ground running, and his first major move was to publicly praise Nyesom Wike, calling him a "pivotal political figure" and advising him to "neglect naysayers and bystanders."

Let's decode what that statement really means. Tinubu just told Wike: "You have my full backing. Ignore everyone criticizing you. Do what you need to do. You're important to me."

What does that mean for Governor Fubara? It means he's in serious trouble.

Despite the APC Rivers State branch calling the impeachment illegal, despite the technicalities that might derail the process, despite Fubara's bravado about being "001," the President just publicly backed Wike. That's not a small thing. That's the ultimate political endorsement.

The question people are asking now is: Is Wike truly such a political colossus that even President Tinubu must bow to him?

The answer appears to be yes. At least for now.

Wike has made himself indispensable to Tinubu's government and to APC's 2027 plans. He has resources, influence, and the willingness to play dirty politics that Tinubu finds useful. So yes, Tinubu is bowing to Wike because politically, it makes sense.

Poor Fubara. The man thought defecting to APC would save him. Instead, he jumped from the frying pan into the fire, and the President just turned up the heat.

But Tinubu wasn't done making power moves.

He also met privately with Governor Abba Yusuf of Kano State at the State House. The meeting was supposedly about development and governance, but everyone knows what it was really about: defection.

Tinubu is playing a clever game. He's realized that if he can't win over Kwankwaso directly, he'll go after Kwankwaso's golden boy instead. If he can flip Abba Yusuf to APC, he essentially neutralizes Kwankwaso's power in Kano without needing Kwankwaso himself.

It's a brilliant strategy, actually. Kwankwaso's entire political value is based on controlling Kano. But if the sitting Governor of Kano defects to APC, what leverage does Kwankwaso have left? The NNPP structure becomes irrelevant, and Kwankwaso becomes just another politician without a power base.

And according to news that broke this morning, Governor Abba Yusuf might defect to APC today.

If that happens, it's game over for Kwankwaso's political relevance. His mentee would have betrayed him just like Ganduje did. History repeating itself in the cruelest way possible.

Tinubu is trying to be clever by half, and so far, it seems to be working. He's consolidating power, neutralizing threats, and positioning APC for 2027 dominance.

But just when you think Tinubu is winning on all fronts, trouble emerges from an unexpected place: his own backyard.

In faraway Lagos—Tinubu's political headquarters, his base of power, his kingdom—a rebellion is brewing.

The Government Advisory Committee (GAC), which is the highest decision-making organ in the Lagos APC branch, has recently done something shocking: they endorsed Akinwunmi Ambode for re-election as Lagos Governor.

Wait, Ambode? The same Ambode that Tinubu removed and replaced with Babajide Sanwo-Olu? The same Ambode who was humiliated and cast aside? That Ambode?

Yes, that Ambode.

And why is GAC endorsing him? To stop Seyi Tinubu's gubernatorial bid and avert a father-son power incumbency situation.

This is a direct challenge to Tinubu's dynastic plans. The GAC is essentially saying: "We're not going to allow you to install your son as Governor of Lagos. We've been loyal to you for decades, but this is where we draw the line."

What does this mean for Tinubu? It means he might be losing his grip in his own backyard.

Lagos has always been Tinubu's power base, his ATM, his stronghold. But even there, resistance is building against what many see as excessive ambition and dynasty-building.

If Tinubu can't control Lagos politics anymore, what does that say about his overall political strength? If his own political structure is rebelling against his son's ambitions, how strong is his national grip really?

The irony is delicious. Tinubu is busy consolidating power nationally—courting Abba Yusuf, backing Wike, positioning for 2027—while his own home base is quietly slipping away from his control.

So what is the state of naija politics right now?

It's chaos. Pure, unfiltered, beautiful chaos.

El-Rufai is back but confused. Obasanjo is endorsing Obi-Kwankwaso while humiliating Atiku. Tinubu is publicly backing Wike, which spells doom for Fubara. Abba Yusuf might defect today, destroying Kwankwaso's relevance. And Lagos GAC is rebelling against Tinubu's dynastic ambitions by endorsing Ambode.

Every major political figure is making moves. Everyone is positioning for 2027. Alliances are shifting. Betrayals are happening. Power is being consolidated and simultaneously challenged.

It's exhausting to keep up with, but it's also fascinating to watch.

Will Abba Yusuf really defect today, or is this just a negotiation tactic? Can Tinubu install his son in Lagos despite GAC's opposition? Is Fubara finished now that Tinubu has publicly backed Wike? Will Obasanjo's endorsement help or hurt the Obi-Kwankwaso ticket? And what is El-Rufai even doing at this point?

These are the questions defining naija politics right now, and honestly, your guess is as good as anyone's. The only certainty is uncertainty. The only constant is change. And the only guarantee is that by next week, there will be five new scandals, three new defections, and at least one political resurrection.

Welcome to naija politics in 2026. Buckle up, because it's going to be a wild ride all the way to 2027.

What do you think about all these developments? Who's making the smartest moves, and who's digging their own political grave? Drop your thoughts in the comments section. Let's discuss this madness!