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2 months ago

"Before I Was Born, There Was Hunger" — Tinubu's Most Tone-Deaf Statement Yet as 25 Million More Nigerians Fall Into Poverty

In Naija politics, every president eventually says the one thing they should never say.

The sentence that reveals how they really think. The one that bypasses the speechwriter, skips the filter, and arrives at the podium fully formed, confident, and catastrophically self-defeating.

Bola Ahmed Tinubu found his sentence on Wednesday July 29 at the Presidential Villa, while receiving members of the Catholic Bishops' Conference of Nigeria.

He said: "Before I was born, there was hunger in Nigeria. I have no control over the population."

Before I was born, there was hunger.

Stop reading for a second and sit with that.

The man who campaigned on Renewed Hope. Who told Nigerians that removal of the fuel subsidy would unlock prosperity. Who asked for your vote. Who said "this is our time." Who declared a food security emergency in July 2023. Who asked you to bear the pain of short-term reforms in exchange for long-term gain.

That man, three years into his presidency, stood before Catholic bishops in Abuja and told them hunger existed before he was even born.

As if that were an answer. As if that were governance.

What He Actually Said, Word For Word

The full statement deserves to be read completely because the context does not soften it. It makes it worse.

Tinubu said: "I inherited the liability of my predecessor, and I have been running with it. But this government has stabilised, and there's prosperity on the horizon."

He then called on religious leaders to continue giving Nigerians hope, stressing that churches and faith-based organisations have a responsibility to encourage humanity during difficult times.

So the president's response to hunger is threefold. One, hunger existed before me. Two, I cannot control population growth. Three, go to your pastor.

Three years in office. Hundreds of billions in oil revenue collected. The most powerful executive position on the African continent. And the answer to 180 million people facing poverty is: pray, be patient, and remember that hunger is older than I am.

Sowore Heard It and Said the Obvious Thing

Omoyele Sowore did not dress up his response.

He posted on X: "This @officialABAT man is clueless. Did he campaign to perpetuate generational hunger or to end it? If hunger existed before you were born @officialABAT, wasn't that exactly why you sought power, to end it? It has always been a known fact that you and your ilk sought power to perpetuate hunger."

The question Sowore asked is the only question that matters.

If you knew hunger existed when you were born, when you became governor, when you became a senator's godfather, when you built a political dynasty in Lagos, when you campaigned in Kano and Maiduguri and Port Harcourt asking for votes, and hunger was already there through all of it, what exactly were you promising to do about it?

You do not campaign on the basis of problems you knew existed. You campaign on the basis of solutions you intend to bring.

What was the solution?

Tinubu's answer this week is: the problem predates me. Which is a confession, not a defence.

Peter Obi's Response: Let The Numbers Speak

Obi came with data. Not emotion. Numbers.

He said that despite Tinubu declaring a food security emergency in July 2023 and acquiring 2,000 tractors and 9,000 farming implements, Nigeria is now classified among the world's most food insecure nations, with the World Bank forecasting that 33 million Nigerians could experience severe hunger. He stated that Nigeria currently has the highest number of hungry people of any country in the world.

The highest number of hungry people. Of any country in the world. Nigeria.

Not South Sudan. Not Haiti. Not Somalia. Nigeria. Africa's largest economy. The country with more arable land than most continents. The country that used to export groundnuts and palm oil in such quantities that the products named entire coastal regions.

That country is now ranked number one on the global hunger list.

Obi also cited the World Bank figure that 79 percent of Nigerians currently face poverty, translating to approximately 180 million people. He said this in his Channels Television interview on Sunday. Then Atiku's aide Paul Ibe backed it with additional data two days later.

Ibe wrote: "Between 2023 and date, approximately 25 million additional Nigerians were sucked into poverty as a result of his poverty of ideas, with the total number rising from 115 million when he took over in 2023 to an estimated 140 to 141 million by 2025/2026, according to World Bank data."

25 million additional Nigerians in poverty since Tinubu took office. That is more than the entire population of Cameroon.

The Statistics That Make "Before I Was Born" an Accusation, Not a Defence

Let us be specific, because the numbers in this case are more damning than any political attack.

When Tinubu was sworn in on May 29, 2023, petrol sold for N197 per litre. Today it stands above N1,400 per litre. That is a 610 percent increase in the cost of the fuel that powers every generator, every commercial motorcycle, every market truck, and every bus in Nigeria.

The naira exchanged at approximately N463 to the dollar when he assumed office. By the peak of the depreciation in early 2024, it had reached N1,900 to the dollar. Even with the CBN's celebrated stabilisation under Cardoso, the naira remains at approximately N1,600 to the dollar today. That is a 245 percent depreciation in three years.

Headline inflation peaked at 35 percent in December 2024, the highest in three decades. The National Bureau of Statistics recorded food inflation at its worst point at over 40 percent in the same period.

The NBS's latest poverty statistics show that the share of Nigerians living below the national poverty line has increased since 2023. NUPRC data shows that daily oil production remains below the 1.8 million barrels per day target that was supposed to fund the reforms, averaging closer to 1.4 million barrels and sometimes below that.

The food security emergency Tinubu declared in July 2023 has not delivered food security three years later. The country it was supposed to rescue now leads the world in the number of hungry people.

These numbers were not inherited from Jonathan. They were not left behind by Buhari alone. They accumulated under the specific policy decisions of the current administration. The fuel subsidy removal happened under Tinubu. The naira float happened under Tinubu. The electricity tariff hike of 240 percent happened under Tinubu. The decision on how to sequence reforms, whether to pair them with social protection programmes, whether to prioritise short-term pain relief or long-term market corrections, those decisions belonged to this government.

Hunger may have existed before Tinubu was born. But 25 million more Nigerians entered poverty after Tinubu was elected.

That is the sentence he should be answering. Not the one about his birth year.

The Catholic Bishops Were the Wrong Audience for This Defence

There is a specific cruelty in saying what Tinubu said to the people he said it to.

Catholic bishops in Nigeria are not abstract political figures. They are men who run orphanages in Borno. Who keep hospitals open in Niger State without government funding. Who feed displaced persons in Benue. Who counsel families in Lagos who cannot eat twice a day. Who see the hunger Tinubu says preceded his birth in the actual faces of actual human beings who come to their churches not for liturgy but for food.

These are the people Tinubu told to go and give Nigerians hope.

The men who are already giving Nigerians the material hope his government has failed to provide were told by the president to keep doing exactly that, apparently so the president does not have to.

In Naija politics, the choice of venue for that particular statement was not just politically tone-deaf. It was a complete inversion of what leadership looks like.

You do not go to the people filling the gap left by your governance failures and tell them the gap was there before you arrived.

You go to them and explain what you are doing to close it.

The Final Word

Before Tinubu was born, there was hunger in Nigeria.

Also before Tinubu was born, Nigeria had no national carrier, no oil revenue, no federal structure, and no constitution. Many things existed before Tinubu was born that presidents since then have been expected to address, improve, or solve.

That is the job. Not to discover that problems existed before you. To make them smaller than you found them.

Nigeria's hunger problem is not smaller than Tinubu found it.

It is larger. By 25 million people. By World Bank count. By the highest-number-in-the-world ranking. By 33 million people projected to face severe hunger. By the empty plates in the stories every Nigerian is living right now.

Sowore asked the right question. Did you campaign to perpetuate generational hunger or to end it?

The Catholic bishops did not answer. They cannot.

And neither, apparently, can the president.

This is Naija politics. When the man holding the highest office in the land tells you hunger is older than he is, you are not listening to governance. You are listening to an exit strategy.

And the exit in question is not from the Presidential Villa.

It is from accountability.

What do you think? Is "before I was born there was hunger" the most tone-deaf presidential statement of the Fourth Republic, or does Tinubu have a legitimate point that inherited structural problems cannot be fixed in three years? And with 25 million more Nigerians in poverty since 2023 according to World Bank data, at what point does the reform narrative stop being a defence and start being an admission? Drop your thoughts in the comments. This is Naija politics and the hunger is not hypothetical.

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