Kaothaj_
7 months ago
President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has many critics. His economic policies have been heavily criticized. His frequent foreign trips are a source of constant complaint. His health is questioned regularly. But there's one skill that even his harshest detractors must grudgingly acknowledge: his mastery of political mediation, a skill deeply honed through decades navigating the treacherous waters of naija-politics.
From his days as a senator, to his time as Lagos governor, through his role as godfather extraordinaire, and now as President, Tinubu has built a reputation as the man who can bring warring political factions together, find common ground where none seemed to exist, and broker peace deals that stick—at least temporarily.
And he's been putting this skill to work since even before he became president.
The Zamfara Reconciliation (2023)
It all started during the 2023 presidential campaign when Tinubu faced a potentially devastating political crisis in Zamfara State. Former Governor Abdul'aziz Yari, one of the APC's founding members and a powerful Northern politician, had been sidelined and felt betrayed by the party's national leadership. There were strong indications that Yari was working against Tinubu's emergence, allegedly holding meetings with Atiku and PDP chieftains.
Meanwhile, Governor Bello Matawalle, who had recently defected from PDP to APC, was trying to consolidate his power base but faced opposition from Yari's vast political network.
The situation was explosive. If Yari actively sabotaged Tinubu in Zamfara, the candidate could lose hundreds of thousands of crucial Northern votes. But Tinubu, demonstrating the political mediation skills that would later define his presidency, personally intervened.
Yari publicly endorsed both Tinubu and Matawalle at a grand rally in Talata Mafara, saying "The large turnout of APC rally today in Talata Mafara indicated that Zamfara people are strongly behind APC" and describing his reconciliation with Matawalle as "a recipe for victory for APC".
What looked like an impossible reconciliation—two bitter rivals who had been fighting for years—was achieved through Tinubu's intervention. And true to the mediated agreement, both men worked together to deliver Zamfara to APC in 2023.
Tinubu was so proud of this achievement that he mentioned it in his acceptance speech after winning the presidential election, highlighting how he had brought peace to Zamfara despite the deep divisions between key stakeholders .
But the Zamfara mediation wasn't a one-time thing. As President, Tinubu continued managing the delicate Zamfara balance by ordering former governor Sani Yerima to broker peace between current Governor Dauda Lawal and Matawalle when new tensions emerged.
The Benue Settlement (December 2025)
Fast forward to late 2025, and the masterful ways of naija-politics mediation skills were needed again, this time in Benue State where a potentially catastrophic rift had developed between two of the most powerful political figures in the North-Central zone.
President Bola Tinubu pledged to intervene in the lingering political disagreement between the Secretary to the Government of the Federation (SGF), Senator George Akume, and Benue State Governor, Hyacinth Alia, assuring that the rift will be resolved in the interest of the state and the wider North Central region .
The Akume-Alia crisis was particularly delicate. Akume is described as "the longest-serving public servant in the contemporary history of this country"—having served as Director of Protocol, Permanent Secretary, two-term governor, senator for 12 years, Senate Minority Leader for eight years, minister, and now SGF.
Governor Alia, meanwhile, is Akume's political godson—one of several governors Akume has installed over the years. But like many godfather-godson relationships in Nigeria, this one had soured.
Tinubu made his intervention known on Sunday in Makurdi during the wedding reception of Deborah and Samuel Akume, son of the SGF. Tinubu was represented at the event by Vice President Kashim Shettima.
Vice President Kashim Shettima urged both leaders to embrace peace and reconciliation, cautioning that "a sustained rift between both leaders could negatively affect Benue State, the North-Central zone and Nigeria as a whole".
The mediation message was clear and direct: "We will not allow the relationship between him and the transformative governor to go asunder," Shettima said, assuring that he would personally intervene to mend the relationship.
Tinubu understands something fundamental about Nigerian politics: when powerful figures fight, entire regions suffer. Benue's political stability matters not just for the state but for the entire North-Central zone's support for APC in 2027.
The Rivers Intervention (Multiple Times)
But perhaps Tinubu's most challenging and ongoing mediation effort is the Rivers State crisis—a battle that has tested even his considerable political skills.
For the first time since the godfather-godson battle started between Nyesom Wike and Governor Siminalayi Fubara, President Tinubu has again directly intervened by calling both men to a meeting.
President Bola Tinubu has again met with Governor Siminalayi Fubara of Rivers State and Minister of the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), Nyesom Wike, in a decisive move to address the political crisis rocking the state.
Reliable presidency sources confirmed that the meeting, which was also attended by some political leaders in the state, took place Sunday at about 11pm at the president's official residence at the State House.
This isn't Tinubu's first Rivers intervention. In fact, this is about the fourth time the president has stepped in to resolve the prolonged political standoff between the two political gladiators in the oil-rich state.
The first intervention came in December 2023 when Tinubu brokered what was supposed to be a lasting peace between Wike and Fubara. That peace collapsed within months. Then came the March 2025 declaration of a six-month emergency rule in Rivers State when the situation became completely untenable.
Now, in February 2026, Tinubu is trying again. And this time, he's reportedly laid down very specific terms.
Tinubu's intervention came with a blunt message to Fubara: Wike remains the undisputed political leader of the party, whether APC or Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) in Rivers State, and he must be respected in that regard.
In return, Fubara was instructed to make significant concessions. Chief among them was the formal recognition of Wike as the "political leader" in Rivers State, with final authority on party matters.
But Tinubu also gave Wike clear instructions: The president clearly told Wike to back off any impeachment plots against Fubara and allow governance in the state.
And in a remarkable show of the mediation's apparent success, Governor Fubara accompanied Wike to his residence in Guzape, Abuja, after the discussions. The report added that Fubara allegedly begged the minister, vowing never to show him disrespect again.
What Makes Tinubu's Mediation Effective?
So what's the secret to Tinubu's mediation success operating within the complex ecosystem of naija-politics? Several factors stand out:
1. He has leverage over both sides. As President, Tinubu controls federal appointments, resources, and political access. Both warring parties need him more than they need to fight each other.
2. He understands power dynamics. Tinubu doesn't try to create artificial equality. In Rivers, he acknowledged Wike's power while protecting Fubara's office. In Benue, he honored Akume's seniority while respecting Alia's governorship.
3. He makes it personal. By attending events like weddings or sending his VP, Tinubu adds emotional weight to his mediation. It's harder to reject peace when the President himself is asking for it.
4. He sets clear terms. Unlike vague "let's all get along" mediation, Tinubu apparently sets specific conditions: who controls what, who gets which seats, who acknowledges whom as leader.
5. He follows up. He doesn't just mediate once and walk away. The multiple Rivers interventions show he's willing to keep coming back until stability is achieved.
The Results and The Question
So, can Tinubu settle the Wike-Fubara rift this time?
The early signs are promising. Fubara accompanying Wike home and allegedly apologizing is a significant symbolic gesture. But symbol isn't the same as substance. The Rivers crisis has survived previous mediation attempts because the fundamental power struggle—who really controls Rivers State—hasn't been resolved.
However, Tinubu's latest intervention seems more forceful and specific than previous attempts. By explicitly declaring Wike as the political leader while protecting Fubara's governorship, he's created a framework that could work: Fubara governs, Wike controls party politics.
Whether this framework holds depends on whether both men can live within those boundaries. Wike must resist the temptation to undermine Fubara's governance. Fubara must resist the urge to challenge Wike's political control.
Given their history, that's asking a lot. But with a President who's demonstrated masterful mediation skills and willingness to intervene repeatedly, there's at least a chance.
The Bigger Picture
Tinubu's mediation skills matter beyond just resolving individual conflicts. They're essential to APC's 2027 strategy and to maintaining some level of political stability in a deeply fractured nation.
When Zamfara was unified, Tinubu won the state. When Benue's leaders work together, the North-Central stays solid for APC. When Rivers is stable, the South-South doesn't become a complete opposition stronghold.
Tinubu understands that in the fragmented, ego-driven world of naija-politics, a president who can mediate effectively has a strategic advantage. He can keep his coalition together while the opposition tears itself apart over who should lead.
Critics might say this is just Tinubu protecting his political interests, not serving the nation. And they'd be partly right. But the reality is that political stability—even stability achieved through self-interested mediation—is better than chaos.
Rivers State residents benefit when their governor and the FCT minister aren't waging political war. Benue citizens benefit when their governor and the SGF work together. Zamfara voters benefit when their leaders aren't sabotaging each other.
So yes, Tinubu's mediation serves his 2027 reelection interests. But it also serves the immediate interests of citizens who just want their states to function.
What do you think? Can Tinubu's latest intervention finally bring lasting peace to Rivers State? Is his mediation style genuinely effective, or does it just delay inevitable conflicts? And does Nigeria benefit from having a president skilled at political mediation, even if it's primarily used to consolidate power? Drop your thoughts in the comments section!



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